Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive preview and prediction
The match
Monterey Bay host El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Cardinale Stadium. Monterey Bay are 12th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while El Paso Locomotive sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Monterey Bay's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to FC Tulsa 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Phoenix Rising 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Monterey Bay arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Monterey Bay 0–3 El Paso Locomotive.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Monterey Bay and 1.6 for El Paso Locomotive. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterey Bay 37%, draw 21%, El Paso Locomotive 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Monterey Bay 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterey Bay37%fair 2.72 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.65
El Paso Locomotive42%fair 2.39 · @2.30
3.17Expected goals
1.53Monterey Bay xG
1.65El Paso Locomotive xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.5 – 1.6 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and El Paso Locomotive 42%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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