USL Championship · USA · Cashman Field
Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn prediction & analysis
Las Vegas Lights or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.9 – 1.0 Brooklyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Las Vegas Lights hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 20% for Brooklyn.
Las Vegas Lights have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Brooklyn have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. Las Vegas Lights come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Las Vegas Lights, 1.0 for Brooklyn). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Las Vegas Lights or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.25.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Las Vegas Lights to win ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.77 |
| Double chance | Las Vegas Lights or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.45 |
| Half-time result | Las Vegas Lights ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Las Vegas Lights / FT Las Vegas Lights ✗ | 36% | 2.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.53 | – |
Form
Las Vegas Lights – last 6
| 9 Aug | @ Miami FC | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Aug | vs Oakland Roots | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Aug | vs Phoenix Rising | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | @ Detroit City | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jul | @ San Antonio | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jul | @ Monterey Bay | 3–2 | W |
Brooklyn – last 6
| 2 Aug | @ Charleston Battery | 0–5 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs San Antonio | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jul | @ Sporting JAX | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Jul | @ Rhode Island | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Jul | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | vs Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Vegas Lights and Brooklyn.
USL Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | +26 | 61 |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 30 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |  Detroit City | 30 | +13 | 51 |
| 4 |  Louisville City | 30 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | +3 | 45 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 30 | +2 | 43 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 30 | +9 | 42 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 30 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 30 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 30 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 30 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 30 | -29 | 21 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 30 | -46 | 14 |
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FC Tulsa0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn?
Our pick is Las Vegas Lights or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn?
On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brooklyn 20%.
How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn?
Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.