Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Sacramento Republic to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓67% · @1.30
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.18
Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX preview and prediction
The match
Sacramento Republic host Sporting JAX in the USL Championship on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Heart Health Park. Sacramento Republic are 2nd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Sporting JAX sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 37 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sacramento Republic's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Oakland Roots 3–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sporting JAX's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to El Paso Locomotive 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Sacramento Republic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Sacramento Republic and 0.9 for Sporting JAX. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Sacramento Republic to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sacramento Republic 2–0 Sporting JAX. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sacramento Republic67%fair 1.50 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @5.00
Sporting JAX13%fair 7.90 · @7.50
3.14Expected goals
2.24Sacramento Republic xG
0.90Sporting JAX xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 2.2 – 0.9 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacramento Republic to win✓
67%
1.50
1.30
Double chance
Sacramento Republic or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Half-time result
Sacramento Republic ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.18
–
Form
Sacramento Republic – last 6
WDLWLW
26 Jul
@ Oakland Roots
3–1
W
19 Jul
@ Charleston Battery
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Boise
0–2
L
9 Jul
vs Rhode Island
2–1
W
21 Jun
vs New Mexico United
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Colorado Springs
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting JAX – last 6
LDWLDL
26 Jul
@ El Paso Locomotive
0–2
L
19 Jul
vs Brooklyn
2–2
D
16 Jul
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Austin
0–4
L
4 Jul
@ Loudoun United
2–2
D
21 Jun
vs Charleston Battery
2–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sacramento Republic and Sporting JAX.
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is Sacramento Republic to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting JAX 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 2–0 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington3
Monterey Bay2
New Mexico United1
Colorado Springs0
Oakland Roots0
Orange County SC2
El Paso Locomotive0