Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive preview and prediction
The match
Orange County SC host El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Championship Soccer Stadium. Orange County SC are 9th with 39 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while El Paso Locomotive sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Orange County SC's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Monterey Bay 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Sporting JAX 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Orange County SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Orange County SC 1–2 El Paso Locomotive.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Orange County SC and 1.4 for El Paso Locomotive. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orange County SC 44%, draw 21%, El Paso Locomotive 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Orange County SC 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orange County SC44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.45
El Paso Locomotive35%fair 2.84 · @2.80
2.93Expected goals
1.57Orange County SC xG
1.37El Paso Locomotive xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.6 – 1.4 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Orange County SC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and El Paso Locomotive 35%.
How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Orange County SC 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?
Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.