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USL Championship · USA · Championship Soccer Stadium

Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultOrange County SC to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive preview and prediction

The match

Orange County SC host El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Championship Soccer Stadium. Orange County SC are 9th with 39 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while El Paso Locomotive sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Orange County SC's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Monterey Bay 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Sporting JAX 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Orange County SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Orange County SC 1–2 El Paso Locomotive.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Orange County SC and 1.4 for El Paso Locomotive. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Orange County SC 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Orange County SC44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.45
El Paso Locomotive35%fair 2.84 · @2.80
2.93Expected goals
1.57Orange County SC xG
1.37El Paso Locomotive xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.6 – 1.4 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrange County SC to win ✓44%2.262.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.42
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orange County SC / FT Orange County SC ✓25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.20–

Form

Orange County SC – last 6

WLDDWW
26 Jul@ Monterey Bay2–1W
12 Julvs Colorado Springs0–3L
9 Jul@ Hartford Athletic2–2D
5 Jul@ Rhode Island1–1D
25 Jun@ Miami FC4–2W
21 Jun@ Las Vegas Lights3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

El Paso Locomotive – last 6

WLLWLD
26 Julvs Sporting JAX2–0W
19 Jul@ FC Tulsa0–1L
12 Julvs New Mexico United0–2L
5 Jul@ Las Vegas Lights2–1W
21 Jun@ Monterey Bay0–1L
14 Junvs Phoenix Rising1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Orange County SC v El Paso Locomotive1–2
Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?

On our numbers Orange County SC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and El Paso Locomotive 35%.

How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our predicted score is Orange County SC 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?

Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.