Rhode Island vs Orange County SC preview and prediction
The match
Orange County SC travel to Centreville Bank Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 5 July (00:30 WAT) to face Rhode Island. Rhode Island are 7th with 42 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Orange County SC sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rhode Island's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Loudoun United 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Orange County SC's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Miami FC 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Rhode Island and 0.9 for Orange County SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rhode Island 63%, draw 21%, Orange County SC 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Rhode Island 2–0 Orange County SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rhode Island63%fair 1.58 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.80
Orange County SC16%fair 6.27 · @4.75
2.85Expected goals
1.97Rhode Island xG
0.87Orange County SC xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rhode Island 2.0 – 0.9 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rhode Island to win✗
63%
1.58
1.60
Double chance
Rhode Island or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.36
Half-time result
Rhode Island ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.73
–
Form
Rhode Island – last 6
WWLWDL
13 Jun
@ Loudoun United
4–1
W
7 Jun
vs Westchester SC
3–0
W
31 May
@ Indy Eleven
0–1
L
24 May
vs Brooklyn
4–1
W
10 May
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–1
D
3 May
vs Birmingham Legion
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Orange County SC – last 6
WWDLWL
25 Jun
@ Miami FC
4–2
W
21 Jun
@ Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
14 Jun
@ New Mexico United
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Alta
1–2
L
24 May
vs Oakland Roots
3–2
W
17 May
@ Phoenix Rising
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rhode Island and Orange County SC.
What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
On our numbers Rhode Island have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Orange County SC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
Our predicted score is Rhode Island 2–0 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rhode Island vs Orange County SC?
Rhode Island vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colorado Springs3
Phoenix Rising1
San Antonio0
Monterey Bay0
New Mexico United2
Oakland Roots1
Las Vegas Lights1
El Paso Locomotive2