Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLas Vegas Lights to win ✗41% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Las Vegas Lights take on El Paso Locomotive on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 03:30 (WAT) at Cashman Field. Las Vegas Lights are 11th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while El Paso Locomotive sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Orange County SC 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Monterey Bay 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished El Paso Locomotive 3–2 Las Vegas Lights.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Las Vegas Lights and 1.5 for El Paso Locomotive. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Las Vegas Lights 41%, draw 22%, El Paso Locomotive 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Las Vegas Lights41%fair 2.43 · @2.33
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
El Paso Locomotive36%fair 2.74 · @2.60
3.21Expected goals
1.66Las Vegas Lights xG
1.55El Paso Locomotive xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.7 – 1.5 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and El Paso Locomotive 36%.
How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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