New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots preview and prediction
The match
New Mexico United host Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on Sunday 5 July, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. New Mexico United are 1st with 52 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Oakland Roots sit 10th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New Mexico United's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Atlante FC 3–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oakland Roots's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Phoenix Rising 4–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
New Mexico United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Oakland Roots 2–1 New Mexico United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for New Mexico United and 1.3 for Oakland Roots. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Mexico United 42%, draw 22%, Oakland Roots 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: New Mexico United 1–1 Oakland Roots. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Mexico United42%fair 2.40 · @2.33
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
Oakland Roots36%fair 2.79 · @2.60
2.80Expected goals
1.47New Mexico United xG
1.34Oakland Roots xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.5 – 1.3 Oakland Roots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oakland Roots 36%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 Oakland Roots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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