San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Sacramento Republic to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.27
San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees San Antonio take on Sacramento Republic on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Toyota Field. San Antonio are 6th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Sacramento Republic sit 2nd on 51 points (in the top four).
Form guide
San Antonio's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat One Knoxville 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sacramento Republic's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Oakland Roots 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sacramento Republic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for San Antonio and 1.1 for Sacramento Republic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Antonio 37%, draw 25%, Sacramento Republic 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Sacramento Republic to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: San Antonio 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Antonio37%fair 2.70 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Sacramento Republic38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
2.22Expected goals
1.11San Antonio xG
1.12Sacramento Republic xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Antonio 1.1 – 1.1 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacramento Republic to win✗
38%
2.66
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic✗
20%
4.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.27
–
Form
San Antonio – last 6
WDDWDL
17 May
@ One Knoxville
1–0
W
10 May
@ Phoenix Rising
1–1
D
3 May
vs Colorado Springs
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ El Paso Locomotive
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Miami FC
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Orange County SC
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sacramento Republic – last 6
WWWDDW
17 May
@ Oakland Roots
1–0
W
3 May
vs Orange County SC
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs Spokane Velocity
4–0
W
22 Apr
@ Brooklyn
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Phoenix Rising
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Antonio and Sacramento Republic.
What is the prediction for San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
On our numbers San Antonio have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sacramento Republic 38%.
How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
Our predicted score is San Antonio 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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