Lexington travel to Michael A. Carroll Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 24 May (00:00 WAT) to face Indy Eleven. Indy Eleven are 9th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Lexington sit 4th on 48 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Indy Eleven's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Sporting JAX 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Lexington's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Monterey Bay 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Indy Eleven and 1.2 for Lexington. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Indy Eleven 1–1 Lexington. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Indy Eleven44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Lexington34%fair 2.98 · @2.88
2.53Expected goals
1.38Indy Eleven xG
1.15Lexington xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.4 – 1.2 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✓
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.11
–
Form
Indy Eleven – last 6
WLLWDL
10 May
vs Sporting JAX
2–1
W
3 May
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lexington – last 6
WLWDLL
9 May
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
3 May
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Forward Madison
4–2
W
19 Apr
@ Orange County SC
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Rhode Island
1–3
L
2 Apr
vs Louisville City
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Lexington.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lexington 34%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Lexington?
Indy Eleven vs Lexington (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
San Antonio2
Sacramento Republic1
New Mexico United1
Monterey Bay2
Orange County SC3
Oakland Roots2
Las Vegas Lights2
Colorado Springs0