New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: New Mexico United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharleston Battery to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees New Mexico United take on Charleston Battery on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. New Mexico United are 1st with 52 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Charleston Battery sit 2nd on 53 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
New Mexico United's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Charleston Battery's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Richmond Kickers 4–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Charleston Battery arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for New Mexico United and 1.6 for Charleston Battery. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Mexico United 35%, draw 20%, Charleston Battery 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.
Value angle: New Mexico United to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: New Mexico United 1–1 Charleston Battery. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Mexico United35%fair 2.83 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.55
Charleston Battery44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
2.92Expected goals
1.35New Mexico United xG
1.56Charleston Battery xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.4 – 1.6 Charleston Battery expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleston Battery to win✗
44%
2.25
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleston Battery / FT Charleston Battery✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
New Mexico United – last 6
LLWDWL
21 May
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
17 May
@ Colorado Springs
0–4
L
10 May
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–1
W
7 May
vs El Paso Locomotive
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Alta
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Phoenix Rising
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Charleston Battery – last 6
WWWLLD
16 May
@ Richmond Kickers
4–0
W
3 May
vs Sporting JAX
4–0
W
25 Apr
@ Loudoun United
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Rhode Island
0–4
L
12 Apr
@ Brooklyn
0–3
L
1 Apr
@ Charlotte Independence
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Mexico United and Charleston Battery.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Charleston Battery 44%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 Charleston Battery, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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