Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies preview and prediction
The match
Tampa Bay Rowdies travel to Centreville Bank Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 10 May (00:30 WAT) to face Rhode Island. Rhode Island are 7th with 42 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rhode Island's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Birmingham Legion 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Indy Eleven 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Rhode Island and 1.4 for Tampa Bay Rowdies. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rhode Island 36%, draw 24%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Rhode Island 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rhode Island36%fair 2.79 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.25
Tampa Bay Rowdies40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
2.70Expected goals
1.30Rhode Island xG
1.40Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rhode Island 1.3 – 1.4 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✗
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Form
Rhode Island – last 6
LDWWWL
3 May
vs Birmingham Legion
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Charleston Battery
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Lexington
3–1
W
2 Apr
vs Hartford Athletic
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Miami FC
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6
WWDWWW
3 May
vs Indy Eleven
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Oakland Roots
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Loudoun United
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rhode Island and Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Rhode Island have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 40%.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Rhode Island 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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