Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLouisville City to win ✗64% · @1.48
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✗82% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92
Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds preview and prediction
The match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds travel to Lynn Family Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 10 May (00:00 WAT) to face Louisville City. Louisville City are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Louisville City's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Detroit City 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Phoenix Rising 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Louisville City and 0.9 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Louisville City 64%, draw 19%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Louisville City 2–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Louisville City64%fair 1.57 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @3.90
Pittsburgh Riverhounds18%fair 5.70 · @6.00
2.87Expected goals
1.97Louisville City xG
0.90Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Louisville City 2.0 – 0.9 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louisville City to win✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Double chance
Louisville City or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Half-time result
Louisville City ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.92
–
Form
Louisville City – last 6
LDWWDW
2 May
@ Detroit City
1–2
L
30 Apr
@ Houston Dynamo
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Fort Wayne
3–1
W
15 Apr
vs Austin
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Loudoun United
3–3
D
2 Apr
@ Lexington
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
LWWLDW
3 May
vs Phoenix Rising
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Greenville Triumph
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Virginia Dream
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louisville City and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Louisville City have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 18%.
How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is Louisville City 2–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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