Miami FC host Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Riccardo Silva Stadium. Miami FC are 8th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Phoenix Rising sit 8th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Miami FC's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with San Antonio 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Phoenix Rising's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to San Jose Earthquakes 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Miami FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Miami FC and 1.2 for Phoenix Rising. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Miami FC 39%, draw 24%, Phoenix Rising 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Miami FC 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miami FC39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Phoenix Rising37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.28Miami FC xG
1.22Phoenix Rising xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Miami FC 1.3 – 1.2 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miami FC to win✗
39%
2.55
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miami FC / FT Miami FC✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.55
–
Form
Miami FC – last 3
DWW
12 Apr
@ San Antonio
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Rhode Island
2–1
W
26 Mar
@ Sporting JAX
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Phoenix Rising – last 6
LWLDDD
16 Apr
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs New Mexico United
3–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sacramento Republic
0–2
L
2 Apr
@ Orange County SC
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ FC Tulsa
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Oakland Roots
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miami FC and Phoenix Rising.
What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers Miami FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Phoenix Rising 37%.
How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is Miami FC 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?
Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.