Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30
7/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Indy Eleven to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndy Eleven to win40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 9.96
Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham Legion host Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Protective Stadium. Birmingham Legion are 11th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Indy Eleven sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Birmingham Legion's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Charleston Battery 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Indy Eleven's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Monterey Bay 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Indy Eleven arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Birmingham Legion and 1.3 for Indy Eleven. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Indy Eleven to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Indy Eleven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham Legion37%fair 2.73 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Indy Eleven40%fair 2.47 · @2.80
2.59Expected goals
1.25Birmingham Legion xG
1.33Indy Eleven xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.3 – 1.3 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win
40%
2.47
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
10%
9.96
–
Form
Birmingham Legion – last 3
LDL
22 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
2–3
L
11 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Indy Eleven – last 5
WDLWW
12 Apr
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Des Moines Menace
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and Indy Eleven.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Indy Eleven 40%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?
Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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