Value bet: San Antonio to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.91
El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio preview and prediction
The match
San Antonio travel to Southwest University Park in the USL Championship on Sunday 19 April (02:00 WAT) to face El Paso Locomotive. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while San Antonio sit 6th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Houston Dynamo 1–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Antonio's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Miami FC 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Paso Locomotive arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.1 for San Antonio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Paso Locomotive 43%, draw 22%, San Antonio 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: San Antonio to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 San Antonio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
San Antonio35%fair 2.86 · @3.20
2.46Expected goals
1.32El Paso Locomotive xG
1.15San Antonio xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.3 – 1.1 San Antonio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✗
43%
2.32
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.91
–
Form
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
LWWWWW
16 Apr
@ Houston Dynamo
1–4
L
12 Apr
@ Hartford Athletic
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
2 Apr
@ New Mexico United
4–0
W
29 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Laredo Heat
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
San Antonio – last 6
DLDDWW
12 Apr
vs Miami FC
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Orange County SC
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Monterey Bay
0–0
D
2 Apr
vs FC Tulsa
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Lexington
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs New Mexico United
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and San Antonio.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Antonio 35%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 San Antonio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?
El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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