Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Monterey Bay take on El Paso Locomotive on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Cardinale Stadium. Monterey Bay are 12th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while El Paso Locomotive sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Monterey Bay and 1.2 for El Paso Locomotive. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterey Bay 39%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Monterey Bay 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterey Bay39%fair 2.54 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.00
El Paso Locomotive36%fair 2.77 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.28Monterey Bay xG
1.22El Paso Locomotive xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.3 – 1.2 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterey Bay to win✗
39%
2.54
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterey Bay / FT Monterey Bay✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.49
–
Form
Monterey Bay – last 1
L
8 Mar
vs Oakland Roots
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Paso Locomotive – last 1
D
8 Mar
vs Colorado Springs
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterey Bay and El Paso Locomotive.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and El Paso Locomotive 36%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
