Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Phoenix Rising or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Phoenix Rising to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chancePhoenix Rising or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Phoenix Rising take on Orange County SC on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Phoenix Rising are 8th with 40 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Orange County SC sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Phoenix Rising and 0.8 for Orange County SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Safer route: Phoenix Rising or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Phoenix Rising to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Phoenix Rising or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Phoenix Rising 1–0 Orange County SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Phoenix Rising59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Orange County SC17%fair 5.84 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.70Phoenix Rising xG
0.80Orange County SC xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.7 – 0.8 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phoenix Rising to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Phoenix Rising or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phoenix Rising / FT Phoenix Rising✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.15
–
Form
Phoenix Rising – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ San Antonio
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Orange County SC – last 1
D
8 Mar
vs Las Vegas Lights
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Phoenix Rising and Orange County SC.
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
Our pick is Phoenix Rising or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orange County SC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–0 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
