Value bet: New Mexico United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOakland Roots to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.96
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United preview and prediction
The match
New Mexico United travel to Laney College Football Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 15 March (03:00 WAT) to face Oakland Roots. Oakland Roots are 10th with 38 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while New Mexico United sit 1st on 52 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.5 for Oakland Roots and 0.5 for New Mexico United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oakland Roots 41%, draw 24%, New Mexico United 35%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: New Mexico United to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Oakland Roots 0–0 New Mexico United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oakland Roots41%fair 2.43 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
New Mexico United35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
1.00Expected goals
0.55Oakland Roots xG
0.45New Mexico United xG
47%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
1–020%
0–117%
1–19%
2–06%
0–24%
From our goals model: Oakland Roots 0.5 – 0.5 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oakland Roots to win✓
41%
2.43
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.96
–
Form
Oakland Roots – last 1
W
8 Mar
@ Monterey Bay
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
New Mexico United
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oakland Roots and New Mexico United.
What is the prediction for Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers Oakland Roots have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and New Mexico United 35%.
How many goals will there be in Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is Oakland Roots 0–0 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Laney College Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
