Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuebla W to win66% · @1.58
Double chancePuebla W or draw90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–011% · fair 9.01
Puebla W vs Necaxa W preview and prediction
The match
Necaxa W travel to face Puebla W in the Liga MX Femenil on Saturday 25 April (19:00 WAT). Puebla W are 17th with 4 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Necaxa W sit 18th on 1 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Puebla W's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Pumas UNAM W 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Necaxa W's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Juárez W 0–6 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Puebla W and 0.9 for Necaxa W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puebla W 66%, draw 24%, Necaxa W 10%.
Safer route: Puebla W or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Puebla W 2–0 Necaxa W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puebla W66%fair 1.52 · @1.58
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @4.20
Necaxa W10%fair 9.70 · @4.90
3.13Expected goals
2.26Puebla W xG
0.88Necaxa W xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Puebla W 2.3 – 0.9 Necaxa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puebla W to win
66%
1.52
1.58
Double chance
Puebla W or draw
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.45
Half-time result
Puebla W ahead at half-time
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puebla W / FT Puebla W
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
11%
9.01
–
Form
Puebla W – last 6
DDLLLL
5 Apr
@ Pumas UNAM W
2–2
D
1 Apr
vs Querétaro W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Juárez W
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán W
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Necaxa W – last 6
LLLDLL
2 Apr
vs Juárez W
0–6
L
28 Mar
@ Atlas W
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Toluca W
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Cruz Azul W
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Santos Laguna W
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla W and Necaxa W.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Puebla W vs Necaxa W?
On our numbers Puebla W have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Necaxa W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla W vs Necaxa W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla W vs Necaxa W?
Our predicted score is Puebla W 2–0 Necaxa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Puebla W vs Necaxa W?
Puebla W vs Necaxa W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0