León W vs Atlético San Luis W prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
León W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: León W to win @ 1.69 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeón W to win ✗66% · @1.69
Double chanceLeón W or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
León W vs Atlético San Luis W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees León W take on Atlético San Luis W on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT). León W are 7th with 25 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Atlético San Luis W sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
León W's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Pachuca W 4–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Atlético San Luis W's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Mazatlán W 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Atlético San Luis W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for León W and 1.0 for Atlético San Luis W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: León W 66%, draw 19%, Atlético San Luis W 15%.
Safer route: León W or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: León W to win at 1.69 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was León W or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: León W 2–1 Atlético San Luis W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
León W66%fair 1.52 · @1.69
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.10
Atlético San Luis W15%fair 6.63 · @4.30
3.32Expected goals
2.30León W xG
1.02Atlético San Luis W xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: León W 2.3 – 1.0 Atlético San Luis W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
León W to win✗
66%
1.52
1.69 ▲
Double chance
León W or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Half-time result
León W ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT León W / FT León W✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
León W – last 6
LDLWLL
6 Apr
@ Pachuca W
4–5
L
1 Apr
vs Toluca W
3–3
D
28 Mar
@ Pumas UNAM W
1–2
L
24 Mar
vs Atlas W
4–0
W
17 Mar
vs Mazatlán W
1–3
L
14 Mar
@ América W
2–4
L
2.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atlético San Luis W – last 6
WWWLDW
6 Apr
@ Mazatlán W
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Cruz Azul W
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Santos Laguna W
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Necaxa W
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Puebla W
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between León W and Atlético San Luis W.
What is the prediction for León W vs Atlético San Luis W?
Our pick is León W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win León W vs Atlético San Luis W?
On our numbers León W have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atlético San Luis W 15%.
How many goals will there be in León W vs Atlético San Luis W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for León W vs Atlético San Luis W?
Our predicted score is León W 2–1 Atlético San Luis W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is León W vs Atlético San Luis W?
León W vs Atlético San Luis W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0