Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmérica W to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
América W vs Pachuca W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees América W take on Pachuca W on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Azteca. América W are 1st with 37 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Pachuca W sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
América W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Querétaro W 4–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pachuca W's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat León W 5–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.4 for América W and 1.2 for Pachuca W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: América W 62%, draw 19%, Pachuca W 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was América W to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: América W 2–1 Pachuca W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
América W62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.90
Pachuca W19%fair 5.26 · @3.65
3.60Expected goals
2.35América W xG
1.25Pachuca W xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: América W 2.4 – 1.2 Pachuca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✓
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Form
América W – last 6
WWWWWL
5 Apr
@ Querétaro W
4–1
W
2 Apr
vs Atlas W
2–0
W
26 Mar
@ Tigres UANL W
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Toluca W
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs León W
4–2
W
11 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
2–3
L
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pachuca W – last 6
WWLDWW
6 Apr
vs León W
5–4
W
3 Apr
@ Santos Laguna W
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Monterrey W
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Tijuana W
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Juárez W
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América W and Pachuca W.
What is the prediction for América W vs Pachuca W?
Our pick is América W to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win América W vs Pachuca W?
On our numbers América W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pachuca W 19%.
How many goals will there be in América W vs Pachuca W?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América W vs Pachuca W?
Our predicted score is América W 2–1 Pachuca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is América W vs Pachuca W?
América W vs Pachuca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0