Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Toluca W to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuadalajara W to win ✗46% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Guadalajara W vs Toluca W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees Guadalajara W take on Toluca W on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 02:06 (WAT) at Estadio Akron. Guadalajara W are 4th with 30 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Toluca W sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guadalajara W's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Juárez W 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Toluca W's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Cruz Azul W 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for Guadalajara W and 1.4 for Toluca W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guadalajara W 46%, draw 20%, Toluca W 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Toluca W to win at 3.15 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Guadalajara W 1–1 Toluca W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalajara W46%fair 2.19 · @2.06
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
Toluca W34%fair 2.93 · @3.15
3.04Expected goals
1.65Guadalajara W xG
1.39Toluca W xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Guadalajara W 1.7 – 1.4 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara W to win✗
46%
2.19
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara W / FT Guadalajara W✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Form
Guadalajara W – last 6
DDWDDD
21 Apr
@ Juárez W
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Tigres UANL W
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Mazatlán W
1–0
W
30 Mar
@ Tijuana W
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Monterrey W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Pachuca W
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Toluca W – last 6
LDWWLW
5 Apr
vs Cruz Azul W
0–4
L
1 Apr
@ León W
3–3
D
28 Mar
@ Mazatlán W
3–2
W
21 Mar
vs Necaxa W
5–1
W
17 Mar
@ América W
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Pumas UNAM W
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara W and Toluca W.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara W vs Toluca W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Guadalajara W vs Toluca W?
On our numbers Guadalajara W have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Toluca W 34%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara W vs Toluca W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara W vs Toluca W?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara W 1–1 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara W vs Toluca W?
Guadalajara W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0