Value bet: Wexford to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWexford to win ✗51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.83
Treaty United vs Wexford preview and prediction
The match
Treaty United host Wexford in the First Division on Monday 4 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Markets Field. Treaty United are 9th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Wexford sit 8th on 42 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Treaty United's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Bray Wanderers 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Wexford's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Finn Harps 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wexford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Wexford 3–2 Treaty United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Treaty United and 1.6 for Wexford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Treaty United 28%, draw 22%, Wexford 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Wexford to win at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Treaty United 1–1 Wexford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Treaty United28%fair 3.63 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Wexford51%fair 1.97 · @2.15
2.63Expected goals
1.06Treaty United xG
1.56Wexford xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.1 – 1.6 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Wexford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Treaty United vs Wexford?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wexford 51%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Wexford?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Wexford?
Treaty United vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.