Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Finn Harps take on Bray Wanderers on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Finn Park. Finn Harps are 10th with 28 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Bray Wanderers sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Finn Harps's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Wexford 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Bray Wanderers's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Treaty United 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Bray Wanderers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Bray Wanderers 2–2 Finn Harps.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Finn Harps and 1.4 for Bray Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Finn Harps 33%, draw 20%, Bray Wanderers 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Finn Harps 1–1 Bray Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Finn Harps33%fair 3.05 · @3.05
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
Bray Wanderers47%fair 2.13 · @2.14
2.55Expected goals
1.12Finn Harps xG
1.43Bray Wanderers xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.1 – 1.4 Bray Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bray Wanderers 47%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–1 Bray Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers (First Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1