Value bet: Athlone Town to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLongford Town to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.05
Longford Town vs Athlone Town preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Longford Town take on Athlone Town on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Bishopsgate. Longford Town are 5th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Athlone Town sit 7th on 48 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Longford Town's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to UCD 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Athlone Town's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Kerry 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Athlone Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Athlone Town 2–0 Longford Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Longford Town and 1.1 for Athlone Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Longford Town 45%, draw 21%, Athlone Town 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Athlone Town to win at 3.45 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Longford Town 1–1 Athlone Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Longford Town45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.45
Athlone Town34%fair 2.90 · @3.45
2.32Expected goals
1.26Longford Town xG
1.06Athlone Town xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Longford Town 1.3 – 1.1 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Longford Town vs Athlone Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Longford Town vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Longford Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Athlone Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Longford Town 1–1 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Longford Town vs Athlone Town?
Longford Town vs Athlone Town (First Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1