Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCork City to win ✗64% · @1.46
Double chanceCork City or draw ✗82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Kerry vs Cork City preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Kerry take on Cork City on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Mounthawk Park.
Form guide
Kerry's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Athlone Town 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cork City's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Cobh Ramblers 0–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cork City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Cork City 4–2 Kerry.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Kerry and 1.8 for Cork City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kerry 18%, draw 18%, Cork City 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Kerry 0–1 Cork City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerry18%fair 5.67 · @6.80
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.20
Cork City64%fair 1.56 · @1.46
2.52Expected goals
0.75Kerry xG
1.77Cork City xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Kerry 0.7 – 1.8 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kerry vs Cork City?
On our numbers Kerry have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cork City 64%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Cork City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Cork City?
Our predicted score is Kerry 0–1 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Cork City?
Kerry vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
