Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 2.28 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✓47% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Shamrock Rovers take on St Patrick's Athl. on Friday 29 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Tallaght Stadium. Shamrock Rovers are 1st with 68 points from 36 games (top of the table), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Bohemians 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Derry City 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Shamrock Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished St Patrick's Athl. 0–1 Shamrock Rovers. Across their last 2 meetings Shamrock Rovers have won 2, St Patrick's Athl. 0, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Shamrock Rovers and 1.1 for St Patrick's Athl.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Shamrock Rovers to win at 2.28 – 47% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Shamrock Rovers 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shamrock Rovers47%fair 2.15 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
St Patrick's Athl.31%fair 3.19 · @3.10
2.47Expected goals
1.39Shamrock Rovers xG
1.07St Patrick's Athl. xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 1.4 – 1.1 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and St Patrick's Athl. 31%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.