Value bet: Shelbourne to win @ 1.81 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShelbourne to win ✗59% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Shelbourne vs Galway United preview and prediction
The match
Galway United travel to Tolka Park in the Premier Division on Friday 29 May (19:45 WAT) to face Shelbourne. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Galway United sit 8th on 42 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Derry City 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Galway United's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Bohemians 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Shelbourne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Shelbourne 1–1 Galway United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Shelbourne and 1.0 for Galway United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shelbourne 59%, draw 20%, Galway United 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Shelbourne to win at 1.81 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–1 Galway United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne59%fair 1.68 · @1.81
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Galway United20%fair 4.89 · @4.10
2.88Expected goals
1.89Shelbourne xG
0.99Galway United xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.9 – 1.0 Galway United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Galway United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Galway United?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Galway United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Galway United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Galway United?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Galway United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Galway United?
Shelbourne vs Galway United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
