Drogheda United vs Waterford prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Drogheda United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 1.84 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDrogheda United to win ✗61% · @1.84
Double chanceDrogheda United or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Drogheda United vs Waterford preview and prediction
The match
Waterford travel to Weavers Park in the Premier Division on Friday 29 May (19:45 WAT) to face Drogheda United. Drogheda United are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Waterford sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Drogheda United's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Dundalk 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Waterford's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Shelbourne 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Drogheda United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Waterford 2–1 Drogheda United. Across their last 2 meetings Drogheda United have won 1, Waterford 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Drogheda United and 0.9 for Waterford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Drogheda United 61%, draw 24%, Waterford 15%.
Safer route: Drogheda United or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Drogheda United to win at 1.84 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Drogheda United or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Drogheda United 1–0 Waterford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Drogheda United61%fair 1.64 · @1.84
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
Waterford15%fair 6.59 · @3.95
2.86Expected goals
1.96Drogheda United xG
0.90Waterford xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 2.0 – 0.9 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Waterford?
Our pick is Drogheda United or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Waterford?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Waterford 15%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Waterford?
Drogheda United vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
