Derry City travel to Oriel Park in the Premier Division on Friday 29 May (19:45 WAT) to face Dundalk. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Derry City sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dundalk's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Drogheda United 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Derry City's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Shelbourne 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Dundalk 2–2 Derry City. Across their last 2 meetings Dundalk have won 0, Derry City 0, with 2 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Dundalk and 1.3 for Derry City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dundalk 41%, draw 23%, Derry City 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Dundalk 1–1 Derry City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk41%fair 2.44 · @2.32
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Derry City36%fair 2.78 · @2.92
2.69Expected goals
1.40Dundalk xG
1.29Derry City xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.4 – 1.3 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dundalk vs Derry City?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Derry City 36%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Derry City?
Dundalk vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
