Value bet: St Patrick's Athl. to win @ 1.64 – our chance 68% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓68% · @1.64
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United preview and prediction
The match
Drogheda United travel to Richmond Park in the Premier Division on Friday 13 March (20:45 WAT) to face St Patrick's Athl.. St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Drogheda United sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Shelbourne 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Drogheda United's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Shelbourne 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for St Patrick's Athl. and 0.6 for Drogheda United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: St Patrick's Athl. 68%, draw 19%, Drogheda United 13%.
Safer route: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: St Patrick's Athl. to win at 1.64 – 68% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Drogheda United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St Patrick's Athl.68%fair 1.47 · @1.64
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.55
Drogheda United13%fair 7.97 · @5.60
2.36Expected goals
1.79St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.57Drogheda United xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.8 – 0.6 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St Patrick's Athl. to win✓
68%
1.47
1.64 ▲
Double chance
St Patrick's Athl. or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
St Patrick's Athl. ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl.✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Form
St Patrick's Athl. – last 4
WWWL
6 Mar
@ Shelbourne
3–2
W
2 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Dundalk
4–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Drogheda United – last 3
LDW
27 Feb
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Dundalk
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Waterford
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St Patrick's Athl. and Drogheda United.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Drogheda United 13%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
