Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers preview and prediction
The match
Sligo Rovers host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Showgrounds. Sligo Rovers are 10th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Shamrock Rovers sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table). A gap of 43 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Shelbourne 2–2 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Sligo Rovers and 1.8 for Shamrock Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Shamrock Rovers or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sligo Rovers 0–1 Shamrock Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sligo Rovers14%fair 7.04 · @5.25
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.70
Shamrock Rovers63%fair 1.60 · @1.64
2.57Expected goals
0.74Sligo Rovers xG
1.82Shamrock Rovers xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 0.7 – 1.8 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shamrock Rovers to win✓
63%
1.60
1.64
Double chance
Shamrock Rovers or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Shamrock Rovers ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.54
–
Form
Sligo Rovers – last 2
LD
27 Feb
@ Galway United
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Waterford
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Shamrock Rovers – last 5
DWLDW
9 Mar
@ Shelbourne
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Derry City
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Bohemians
2–3
L
23 Feb
vs Dundalk
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sligo Rovers and Shamrock Rovers.
What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shamrock Rovers 63%.
How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 0–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?
Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.