Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Bohemians to win @ 1.81 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBohemians to win ✓65% · @1.81
Double chanceBohemians or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.22
Waterford vs Bohemians preview and prediction
The match
Bohemians travel to Regional Sports Centre in the Premier Division on Friday 6 March (20:45 WAT) to face Waterford. Waterford are 7th with 43 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Bohemians sit 2nd on 65 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Waterford's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Derry City 2–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Waterford and 1.9 for Bohemians. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Bohemians to win at 1.81 – 65% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bohemians or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Waterford 0–1 Bohemians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waterford13%fair 7.79 · @4.20
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.65
Bohemians65%fair 1.54 · @1.81
2.62Expected goals
0.72Waterford xG
1.90Bohemians xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Waterford 0.7 – 1.9 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bohemians to win✓
65%
1.54
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Bohemians or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Half-time result
Bohemians ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bohemians / FT Bohemians✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.22
–
Form
Waterford – last 3
LDL
27 Feb
@ Derry City
2–4
L
20 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ Drogheda United
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bohemians – last 2
WW
27 Feb
vs Shamrock Rovers
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Derry City
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waterford and Bohemians.
What is the prediction for Waterford vs Bohemians?
Our pick is Bohemians or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Waterford vs Bohemians?
On our numbers Waterford have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bohemians 65%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Bohemians?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Bohemians?
Our predicted score is Waterford 0–1 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Bohemians?
Waterford vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
