Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: St Patrick's Athl. to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShelbourne to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction
The match
St Patrick's Athl. travel to Tolka Park in the Premier Division on Friday 6 March (21:00 WAT) to face Shelbourne. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four).
Form guide
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Galway United 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Shelbourne and 1.0 for St Patrick's Athl.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shelbourne 44%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: St Patrick's Athl. to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
St Patrick's Athl.34%fair 2.91 · @3.50
2.20Expected goals
1.19Shelbourne xG
1.01St Patrick's Athl. xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.2 – 1.0 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✗
44%
2.29
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Shelbourne – last 2
WD
27 Feb
@ Drogheda United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Galway United
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
St Patrick's Athl. – last 3
WWL
2 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Dundalk
4–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and St Patrick's Athl..
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and St Patrick's Athl. 34%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
