Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Galway United to win @ 2.32 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGalway United to win ✗48% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Galway United vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
Galway United host Dundalk in the Premier Division on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Eamonn Deacy Park. Galway United are 8th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Galway United's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dundalk's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Galway United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Galway United and 0.9 for Dundalk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Galway United 48%, draw 22%, Dundalk 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Galway United to win at 2.32 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Galway United 1–0 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Galway United48%fair 2.08 · @2.32
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Dundalk29%fair 3.40 · @3.10
2.28Expected goals
1.33Galway United xG
0.95Dundalk xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Galway United 1.3 – 0.9 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Galway United to win✗
48%
2.08
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Galway United / FT Galway United✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
Galway United – last 3
LWD
2 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shelbourne
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dundalk – last 4
LDDD
27 Feb
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–4
L
23 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Galway United and Dundalk.
What is the prediction for Galway United vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Galway United vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Galway United have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dundalk 29%.
How many goals will there be in Galway United vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Galway United vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Galway United 1–0 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Galway United vs Dundalk?
Galway United vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Eamonn Deacy Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
