Club Tijuana host Pachuca in the Liga MX on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 04:06 (WAT) at Estadio Caliente. Club Tijuana are 9th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Pachuca sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Club Tijuana's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Cruz Azul 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pachuca's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Monterrey 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Pachuca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Club Tijuana and 1.4 for Pachuca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Tijuana 36%, draw 23%, Pachuca 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Club Tijuana 1–1 Pachuca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Tijuana36%fair 2.81 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Pachuca42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
2.72Expected goals
1.29Club Tijuana xG
1.42Pachuca xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Club Tijuana 1.3 – 1.4 Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca to win✗
42%
2.40
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca / FT Pachuca✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Form
Club Tijuana – last 6
DWLWLL
19 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Tigres UANL
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Necaxa
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Leon
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Atlas
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pachuca – last 6
WWWDDW
19 Apr
@ Monterrey
3–1
W
12 Apr
vs Santos Laguna
4–2
W
5 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Toluca
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Puebla
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Tijuana and Pachuca.
What is the prediction for Club Tijuana vs Pachuca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Pachuca?
On our numbers Club Tijuana have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pachuca 42%.
How many goals will there be in Club Tijuana vs Pachuca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Tijuana vs Pachuca?
Our predicted score is Club Tijuana 1–1 Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Club Tijuana vs Pachuca?
Club Tijuana vs Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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