Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonterrey to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceMonterrey or draw ✗85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis preview and prediction
The match
Monterrey host Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio BBVA. Monterrey are 10th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico San Luis sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Monterrey's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Guadalajara Chivas 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Atletico San Luis's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Leon 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Monterrey and 1.0 for Atletico San Luis. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterrey 61%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 15%.
Safer route: Monterrey or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Monterrey 2–0 Atletico San Luis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterrey61%fair 1.63 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @4.10
Atletico San Luis15%fair 6.89 · @5.50
3.13Expected goals
2.14Monterrey xG
1.00Atletico San Luis xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Monterrey 2.1 – 1.0 Atletico San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey to win✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Double chance
Monterrey or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Half-time result
Monterrey ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey / FT Monterrey✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Monterrey – last 6
LDDLLW
22 Mar
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ FC Juarez
2–2
D
11 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Tigres UANL
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Club Queretaro
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico San Luis – last 6
LDLWLL
22 Mar
vs Leon
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Pachuca
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
0–3
L
4 Mar
vs Mazatlán
4–1
W
1 Mar
vs Puebla
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Atlas
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterrey and Atletico San Luis.
What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
On our numbers Monterrey have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico San Luis 15%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
Our predicted score is Monterrey 2–0 Atletico San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
