Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico San Luis to win ✓57% · @1.63
Double chanceAtletico San Luis or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán preview and prediction
The match
Mazatlán travel to Alfonso Lastras Ramirez in the Liga MX on Wednesday 4 March (04:00 WAT) to face Atletico San Luis.
Form guide
Atletico San Luis's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Puebla 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Mazatlán's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Pachuca 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Mazatlán arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.7 for Atletico San Luis and 1.2 for Mazatlán. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico San Luis 57%, draw 23%, Mazatlán 20%.
Safer route: Atletico San Luis or draw (80%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.77 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atletico San Luis 1–1 Mazatlán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico San Luis57%fair 1.75 · @1.63
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.85
Mazatlán20%fair 5.11 · @5.10
2.91Expected goals
1.71Atletico San Luis xG
1.20Mazatlán xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.7 – 1.2 Mazatlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Atletico San Luis
Mazatlán
Attack vs Liga MX average
-18%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.54
1.38
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico San Luis to win✓
57%
1.75
1.63
Double chance
Atletico San Luis or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico San Luis / FT Atletico San Luis✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Atletico San Luis – last 3
LLW
1 Mar
vs Puebla
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Atlas
2–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Queretaro
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mazatlán – last 3
WDW
28 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and Mazatlán.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mazatlán 20%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 Mazatlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán?
Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
