Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓57% · @1.46
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.51
Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Santos Laguna take on Cruz Azul on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio TSM Corona. Santos Laguna are 6th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Cruz Azul sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Santos Laguna's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Club Queretaro 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Cruz Azul's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Monterrey 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruz Azul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.3 for Santos Laguna and 1.9 for Cruz Azul. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Santos Laguna 1–1 Cruz Azul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos Laguna19%fair 5.17 · @6.25
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @4.40
Cruz Azul57%fair 1.74 · @1.46
3.16Expected goals
1.31Santos Laguna xG
1.85Cruz Azul xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna 1.3 – 1.9 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul
Attack vs Liga MX average
-1%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.52
1.70
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
57%
1.74
1.46
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✓
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.51
–
Form
Santos Laguna – last 3
DLL
28 Feb
@ Club Queretaro
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Leon
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul – last 4
WWWW
1 Mar
@ Monterrey
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Vancouver FC
5–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna and Cruz Azul.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Santos Laguna have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 57%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio TSM Corona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán1