Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeon to win ✓64% · @1.59
Double chanceLeon or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Leon vs Santos Laguna preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Leon take on Santos Laguna on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Leon. Leon are 7th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Santos Laguna sit 6th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Leon and 0.9 for Santos Laguna. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leon 64%, draw 20%, Santos Laguna 16%.
Safer route: Leon or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Leon 2–0 Santos Laguna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leon64%fair 1.56 · @1.59
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.10
Santos Laguna16%fair 6.39 · @5.10
2.98Expected goals
2.07Leon xG
0.92Santos Laguna xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Leon 2.1 – 0.9 Santos Laguna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leon to win✓
64%
1.56
1.59
Double chance
Leon or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Half-time result
Leon ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leon / FT Leon✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Leon – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Monterrey
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santos Laguna – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leon and Santos Laguna.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leon vs Santos Laguna?
On our numbers Leon have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Santos Laguna 16%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Santos Laguna?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Santos Laguna?
Our predicted score is Leon 2–0 Santos Laguna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Santos Laguna?
Leon vs Santos Laguna (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán1