Atlas host Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jalisco. Atlas are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Atletico San Luis sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Atlas and 1.4 for Atletico San Luis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlas 39%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Atlas 1–1 Atletico San Luis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlas39%fair 2.55 · @2.37
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
Atletico San Luis37%fair 2.71 · @2.80
2.88Expected goals
1.46Atlas xG
1.41Atletico San Luis xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Atlas 1.5 – 1.4 Atletico San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas to win✓
39%
2.55
2.37
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.29
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas / FT Atlas✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Form
Atlas – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Pachuca
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atletico San Luis – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Club Queretaro
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas and Atletico San Luis.
What is the prediction for Atlas vs Atletico San Luis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Atlas vs Atletico San Luis?
On our numbers Atlas have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico San Luis 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Atletico San Luis?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Atletico San Luis?
Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 Atletico San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs Atletico San Luis?
Atlas vs Atletico San Luis (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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