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Serie A · Brazil · Barradao

Vitoria

DLWLD
1–1
FT

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense prediction & analysis

60%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAtletico Paranaense to win ✗38% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense preview and prediction

The match

Vitoria host Atletico Paranaense in the Serie A on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Barradao. Vitoria are 15th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Paranaense sit 5th on 54 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Vitoria's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Corinthians 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Atletico Paranaense's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 7 August 2026, finished Vitoria 4–0 Atletico Paranaense. Across their last 2 meetings Vitoria have won 1, Atletico Paranaense 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Vitoria and 1.3 for Atletico Paranaense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Vitoria 1–1 Atletico Paranaense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Vitoria38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Atletico Paranaense38%fair 2.62 · @2.62
2.66Expected goals
1.32Vitoria xG
1.34Atletico Paranaense xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Vitoria 1.3 – 1.3 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Paranaense to win ✗38%2.622.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Paranaense / FT Atletico Paranaense ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%10.70–

Form

Vitoria – last 6

DLWLDW
20 Oct@ Corinthians1–1D
11 Oct@ Sao Paulo1–2L
8 Octvs Chapecoense-sc4–0W
20 Sepvs Cruzeiro1–3L
13 Sep@ Mirassol2–2D
8 Sepvs Gremio1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Atletico Paranaense – last 6

LWDWDL
17 Octvs Palmeiras0–2L
12 Oct@ Chapecoense-sc4–1W
9 Octvs Atletico-MG2–2D
20 Sepvs Bahia2–1W
12 Sep@ Coritiba3–3D
6 Sep@ Cruzeiro1–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Aug 2026Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense4–0
4 Aug 2026Atletico Paranaense v Vitoria2–0
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

On our numbers Vitoria have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Paranaense 38%.

How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.