Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Vasco DA Gama to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Vasco DA Gama take on Corinthians on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at São Januário. Vasco DA Gama are 13th with 41 points from 33 games (in the bottom half), while Corinthians sit 17th on 37 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Boca Juniors 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Corinthians's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Vitoria 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Vasco DA Gama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Vasco DA Gama and 0.8 for Corinthians. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 60%, draw 20%, Corinthians 21%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vasco DA Gama to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Corinthians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasco DA Gama60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.60
Corinthians21%fair 4.86 · @4.60
2.46Expected goals
1.65Vasco DA Gama xG
0.81Corinthians xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.7 – 0.8 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vasco DA Gama to win✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.08
–
Form
Vasco DA Gama – last 6
LLWDWW
21 Oct
vs Boca Juniors
1–3
L
18 Oct
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
14 Oct
@ Boca Juniors
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Remo
0–0
D
8 Oct
@ Botafogo
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Coritiba
5–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
DLLLLL
20 Oct
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Palmeiras
1–4
L
7 Oct
@ Internacional
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Fluminense
1–3
L
17 Sep
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasco DA Gama and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Vasco DA Gama to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Corinthians 21%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at São Januário.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
