Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Internacional to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultInternacional to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceInternacional or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Internacional vs Botafogo preview and prediction
The match
Internacional host Botafogo in the Serie A on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estádio Beira Rio. Internacional are 16th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Botafogo sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Internacional's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Mirassol 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Botafogo's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Chapecoense-sc 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Internacional and 0.8 for Botafogo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Internacional 61%, draw 25%, Botafogo 14%.
Safer route: Internacional or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Internacional to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Internacional or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Internacional 1–0 Botafogo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Internacional61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Botafogo14%fair 7.21 · @3.40
2.66Expected goals
1.86Internacional xG
0.80Botafogo xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.9 – 0.8 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional to win✓
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Internacional or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Internacional ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional / FT Internacional✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.67
–
Form
Internacional – last 6
LDWLWL
17 Oct
@ Mirassol
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Gremio
1–1
D
7 Oct
vs Corinthians
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Chapecoense-sc
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Santos
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Botafogo – last 6
WDLLWD
17 Oct
vs Chapecoense-sc
1–0
W
12 Oct
@ Coritiba
1–1
D
8 Oct
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Mirassol
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs Gremio
3–2
W
13 Sep
vs RB Bragantino
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Botafogo.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Botafogo?
Our pick is Internacional or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Internacional vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Internacional have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Botafogo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Botafogo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–0 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Botafogo?
Internacional vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira Rio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
