Cruzeiro travel to Arena do Grêmio in the Serie A on Sunday 18 October (20:00 WAT) to face Gremio. Gremio are 18th with 37 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Cruzeiro sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gremio's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Internacional 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cruzeiro's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Cruzeiro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 July 2026, finished Gremio 3–1 Cruzeiro. Across their last 2 meetings Gremio have won 1, Cruzeiro 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Gremio and 1.5 for Cruzeiro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gremio 33%, draw 21%, Cruzeiro 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Gremio 1–1 Cruzeiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gremio33%fair 2.99 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Cruzeiro45%fair 2.20 · @2.30
2.70Expected goals
1.22Gremio xG
1.48Cruzeiro xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.2 – 1.5 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Gremio have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cruzeiro 45%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
Gremio vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
