Serie A · BrazilFluminense vs Santos prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.6 – 1.3 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Fluminense hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for Santos.
Fluminense have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Santos have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. Santos come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.6 for Fluminense, 1.3 for Santos). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fluminense to win ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | 2.30 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense ✗ | 27% | 3.72 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.89 | – |
Form
Fluminense – last 6
| 15 Oct | vs Palmeiras | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Flamengo | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Coritiba | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Corinthians | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Platense | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Atletico-MG | 1–3 | L |
Santos – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Atletico-MG | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Flamengo | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Sao Paulo | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Remo | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Atletico-MG | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Cruzeiro | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fluminense and Santos.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Santos?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Fluminense vs Santos?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santos 32%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Santos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Fluminense vs Santos?
Fluminense vs Santos (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.