Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.72
Bahia vs Flamengo preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Bahia take on Flamengo on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Arena Fonte Nova. Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Flamengo sit 1st on 76 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bahia's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Mirassol 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Flamengo's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Flamengo 2–0 Bahia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Bahia and 1.6 for Flamengo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bahia 30%, draw 21%, Flamengo 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Bahia 1–1 Flamengo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bahia30%fair 3.28 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Flamengo49%fair 2.05 · @2.15
2.72Expected goals
1.16Bahia xG
1.56Flamengo xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bahia 1.2 – 1.6 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Bahia vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Bahia have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flamengo 49%.
How many goals will there be in Bahia vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahia vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Bahia 1–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bahia vs Flamengo?
Bahia vs Flamengo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Nova.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
