Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitoria to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceVitoria or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Vitoria take on Chapecoense-sc on Thursday 8 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manoel Barradas. Vitoria are 15th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Chapecoense-sc sit 20th on 21 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vitoria's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Cruzeiro 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Atletico Nacional 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Chapecoense-sc arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Vitoria.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Vitoria and 0.9 for Chapecoense-sc. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Vitoria to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Vitoria 1–0 Chapecoense-sc. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitoria59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Chapecoense-sc19%fair 5.17 · @4.60
2.76Expected goals
1.83Vitoria xG
0.93Chapecoense-sc xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.8 – 0.9 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Vitoria to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chapecoense-sc 19%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manoel Barradas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
