Value bet: Cruzeiro to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultInternacional to win ✗40% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Internacional vs Cruzeiro preview and prediction
The match
Cruzeiro travel to Estádio Beira-Rio in the Serie A on Thursday 23 July (01:30 WAT) to face Internacional. Internacional are 16th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Cruzeiro sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Internacional's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Cruzeiro's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Gremio 1–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Internacional and 1.3 for Cruzeiro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Internacional 40%, draw 27%, Cruzeiro 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Cruzeiro to win at 3.15 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Internacional 1–1 Cruzeiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Internacional40%fair 2.52 · @2.24
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.30
Cruzeiro34%fair 2.97 · @3.15
2.66Expected goals
1.31Internacional xG
1.35Cruzeiro xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.3 – 1.3 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Internacional
Cruzeiro
Attack vs Serie A average
-16%
+36%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.26
1.47
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional to win✗
40%
2.52
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.88
–
Form
Internacional – last 6
LWWLDW
31 May
@ RB Bragantino
1–3
L
12 May
vs Athletic Club
3–2
W
23 Apr
@ Athletic Club
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Mirassol
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Gremio
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Corinthians
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cruzeiro – last 6
LWDWWD
12 Jul
@ Gremio
1–3
L
4 Jul
vs Defensor Sporting
2–0
W
1 Jun
vs Fluminense
1–1
D
29 May
vs Barcelona SC
4–0
W
24 May
vs Chapecoense-sc
2–1
W
20 May
@ Boca Juniors
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Cruzeiro.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Internacional have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cruzeiro 34%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
Internacional vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira-Rio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
