The Serie A sees Botafogo take on Vitoria on Thursday 23 July, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estádio Nilton Santos. Botafogo are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Vitoria sit 15th on 38 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Botafogo's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Santos 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Vitoria's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Vasco DA Gama 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Vitoria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Botafogo and 1.0 for Vitoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Botafogo 56%, draw 25%, Vitoria 19%.
Safer route: Botafogo or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Botafogo 1–1 Vitoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo56%fair 1.80 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.65
Vitoria19%fair 5.14 · @4.60
2.64Expected goals
1.68Botafogo xG
0.95Vitoria xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.7 – 1.0 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Botafogo
Vitoria
Attack vs Serie A average
-23%
-34%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.36
0.81
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Double chance
Botafogo or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.29
–
Form
Botafogo – last 6
WLWWWL
16 Jul
vs Santos
2–1
W
30 May
@ Bahia
1–2
L
27 May
@ Caracas FC
3–1
W
21 May
@ Independiente Petrolero
3–0
W
17 May
vs Corinthians
3–1
W
14 May
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vitoria – last 6
WWWLWW
16 Jul
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
6 Jun
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
3 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
31 May
@ Santos
1–3
L
28 May
@ ABC
4–3
W
21 May
vs ABC
6–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Vitoria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Botafogo vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vitoria 19%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–1 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Vitoria?
Botafogo vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
